"I don't think the question any longer is can Democrats win control of Congress, it's can Republicans do anything to stop it?" Amy Walter, House analyst for the nonpartisan Cook Political Report newsletter, told Reuters on Sunday, September 3.
"All the factors and issues are pushing so strongly against Republicans."
All 435 House seats, 34 of 100 Senate seats and 36 governorships are up for grasp in November's election.
The unpopularity of the Iraq war has many Republicans nervous about the party's chances in the midterm elections.
For the third time in less than a year, Bush launched on Thursday, August 31, a new campaign to sell the Iraq war to a skeptical electorate.
A cohort of American experts told The New York Times on Sunday, August 6, that the Bush administration's Iraq strategy has failed and needs to be changed.
Larry Sabato, a University of Virginia political scientist, said Bush's low approval ratings are "the single best indicator for any mid-term election."
He believes that history is also with Democrats.
"This looks like a classic sixth-year election."
The party holding the White House traditionally loses seats in a president's sixth year.
Strategists in both parties agree that the glum public mood has created a strong desire for change and given Democrats a big advantage.
"It's too late to fix the national mood, it's not going to be fixed," said Republican pollster Frank Luntz.
"The major issues are not playing well for Republicans this year, and Republicans are not playing well with America this year."
Democrats need to pick up 15 House seats and six Senate seats to reclaim majorities.
About 40 House districts and a dozen Senate seats will be the key battlegrounds, and they will be flooded in the next two months with campaign cash and appearances by party big shots.
Democrats are in the strongest position in the House, analysts said, where nearly every endangered incumbent is Republican.
Independent analyst Stuart Rothenberg projects a Democratic gain of 15-20 seats, while the Cook Report lists 17 House seats as toss-ups -- all Republican.
In the Senate, Democrats are expected to pick up seats. But to win control they will need to bump off at least five Republican incumbents.
In recent polls, Democratic challengers led Republican incumbents Rick Santorum in Pennsylvania, Conrad Burns in Montana and Mike DeWine in Ohio.
A Democratic majority in even one chamber of Congress would slam the brakes on what is left of Bush's second-term legislative agenda and hasten his descent into lame-duck status in the final two years of his presidency.
It also would give Democrats an opportunity to hold hearings and investigate many of the administration's more controversial foreign, military and energy policy decisions.
The Democratic National Committee last week insisted that the poorly-run Iraq war has actually hurt security in the volatile Middle East and has made the US more, not less, vulnerable to terror attacks.
Democrats have argued that the nearly 300 billion dollars and other resources spent on the war so far could have been put to better use.
Source:Islamonline.netGüncelleme Tarihi: 20 Eylül 2018, 18:16